
Maricopa County Foreclosure Numbers (Click to Enlarge)
The foreclosure market is peaking … or has it peaked?
If you believe that the Federal Rescue package will provide immediate short-term relief for distressed or delinquent homeowners, then your answer is Yes it’s peaked.
If you need to see empirical evidence like I do, you might say, “It’s attempting to plateau” like Tom Ruff reported in his newsletter this month.
The main “run up” that’s continuing is the number of Pending Foreclosures. Although the number of Trustee Sales is setting records, not all notified Beneficiaries are completing the foreclosure process. Why? A few reasons may be: 1) Negotiating a short sale with the seller; 2) Seller filed bankruptcy or other title problems with the property; or 3) Lender doesn’t want the house and has been waiting for a “Government” solution.
Another trend shows the number of Trustee Sales completed each month is greater than the number of bank sales, therefore the REO inventory is increasing.
So with these facts and trends identified, what’s my crystal ball show for in the 4th Quarter? Very cloudy – hard to call. In recent years, the number of sales in the 4th Quarter is down, usually described as seasonal factors. Prices are usually down also in the 4th quarter. This year with DPA being shut off, consumer confidence down, the financial market meltdown, and the Presidential elections, all points indicate a weak housing market. But sellers/banks are starting to understand what it takes to sell a house – price it right.
Jim Sexton – Designated Broker – John Hall & Associates
“The Most Knowledgeable Brokers in the Valley”