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Monthly Archives: February 2009

Short Sale Approval Required: Feature Code Friday


Thanks to all who voted in last weeks poll to determine today’s feature code.  The recipient of 67% of the votes was Short Sale Aprvl Req.  Before we get into the statistics of short sales in flexmls, I’d like to start with a brief explanation of what a short sale is and more importantly what it is not.

Short sales are NOT bank owned properties – the seller is still in title on the property.  Short sales occur when the anticipated net proceeds from the sale of the property is less than the cost of selling the property together with paying off all liens against the property.  The seller is asking the mortgage company or bank to take LESS than the amount owed, however the bank is NOT the owner.  Therefore, although the owner can enter into a legally binding agreement to sell the property (i.e. listing agreement or purchase contract) he/she cannot proceed with the transaction until the bank approves.  For this reason the Arizona Association of REALTORS® has developed the Short Sale Addendum to the Listing Contract and the Short Sale Addendum to the Residential Resale Real Estate Purchase Contract.  Please keep in mind that lenders will usually ONLY consider this scenario when the seller has some type of hardship (i.e. death, divorce, job loss, etc.).  If there are multiple liens against the property ALL lien holders must agree to the short sale.  Be careful not to give tax or legal advice, these types of transactions can create various tax and legal pitfalls depending on your sellers’ situation.  All short sales require patience from the seller, buyer and REALTOR®, they can take months and months for approvals or denials.

If you have questions about the proper status of a Short Sale in flexmls, please read the ARMLS Short Sale Policy.  When you are doing a search in flexmls, you can find today’s feature code under the Special Listing Conditions header.

This is a screen shot of the Short Sale button in flexmls

When property values decline the number of potential short sales increase.  Currently 10,367 listings have ‘Short Sale Aprvl Req’ selected.  Believe me, Phoenix is under all those green dots.

This is a map of Phoenix with 10,000 short sale listings plotted

10,367 is 20% of all active listings in the greater Phoenix area.  There have been 924 sold properties this year that had the Short Sale Approval Required button selected.  That’s 9% of the total sales.  Most of this years’ short sale closings have been under $400,000 but the luxury market is not immune to them.  The highest price short sale closing so far this year was for $2,050,000.

Click here to search active short sale listings.

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Residential Landlord and Tenant Act: revised 02.09

Attention all Arizona Landlords and Tenants:

We recently got notice that the Arizona Secretary of State’s office released a revised version of the document commonly referred to as the Landlord Tenant Act.

*A link to this document has been added to the Phoenix Real Estate Toolbar.

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No Negotiation of Preforeclosure Sales Commission


fanniemaeOn February 24, 2009 Fannie Mae published Announcement 09-03.  This Announcement highlights recent or upcoming changes to their Servicing Policy.  The document talks about five changes, but only one of them applies to Phoenix real estate agents.  According to the document:

No Negotiation of Preforeclosure Sales Commission

Servicing Guide, Part VII, Section 504.02: Contacting Selected Borrowers

Effective March 1, 2009, closing of preforeclosure sales may not be conditioned upon a reduction of the total commission to be paid to real estate agents to a level below what was negotiated by the listing agent with the borrower, unless the fee exceeds 6 percent of the sales price of the property in aggregate. Servicers are reminded that they must continue to obtain any approvals that may be required by interested third parties in connection with preforeclosure sales.

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Create Urgency – Overcoming Buyer Reluctance


Most of the complaints I hear from real estate agents is the frustration of working with buyers who turn out to be dawdling, postponing, hesitating, wavering……you get the picture. Don’t they know this is a buyers’ market? Oddly enough during a sellers’ market buyers will go to any lengths to buy a house making it one of the most difficult times to buy value. Buyers were buying like crazy even though the advantage was all to the seller. Now when it’s a true buyers’ market, they want to wait for fear of paying too much. Gary Keller in his book Shift says, “When they should have been afraid of paying too much they weren’t and now that they shouldn’t be afraid of paying too much they are.” It seems they are intent on finding the greatest deal ever and it causes them to miss out on the great deals that are possible. Most believe that they can “time” the market thinking they have all the time in the world. It isn’t possible to know when the real estate market has “bottomed” since it is a relative position and you only know you were at the bottom when it starts up again. Guaranteeing a “killing” on both ends is impossible, as any investor will tell you real estate is a long-term investment. What goes up comes down and what is down will come up again.

After the typical advice that buyers need to be ready, willing and able, Keller offers some excellent direction on energizing buyer urgency…

photo credit: visitmyluxuryhome.com

photo credit: visitmyluxuryhome.com

Three Ways to Energize Buyer Urgency

1.  Become the local economist of choice: Consumers seek expert advice on everything from health care to car problems but take their real estate advice from newspapers, neighbors and relatives. Those sources can’t possibly give you the whole story on local real estate. Keller suggests that you start by influencing their rational thinking with solid numbers and facts. People have been lead to believe that they can buy or sell every three to five years and make a killing on both ends. As the local expert you can help buyers to understand realistic economic expectations in their local market. Since market expectations can be a powerful source of motivation, you should be the one setting those expectations. You need to know as much as possible about the local market.

2.  Tap into their “WHY”: You’ve heard it before, “when they say what they want, you ask why?” Don’t let this powerful determining and motivating factor go unnoticed. Leading reluctant buyers back to their “why” is not manipulation, it is part of your fiduciary duty to remind them of what they want to buy and why. Of course, in the end your buyers make their own decisions but it is you who helped them overcome their fears and make a good decision.

3.  Overcome Buyers Reluctance: Once the market starts showing signs of improvement the really great buys slip away and the pent up demand for housing drives prices up through mounting competition. Buyers’ markets are skill-based markets and now is the time to practice your talking points (scripts), find a business coach, engage in interactive role playing all in order to help buyers make good decisions. You can do all that with the strategies that Keller describes in his book; hazards of timing the market, trade up (the opportunity of a down market), narrowing a buyer’s choices and finding a “Best Buy”.

Keller says you can cope with this market shift by: building buyer urgency through “expert knowledge of the market, careful consultation on their personal wants and needs, skill at communicating the opportunities of the market, and assertiveness in challenging their thinking. As the dedicated professional that you are you have earned the right to help people with their real estate decisions as well as the “courage to act on what you know to be true.”

DF

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ARMLS – Over a Million Dollar Market


Currently there are 3504 active listings in ARMLS at $1 million and above.

January had 50 sales in this price range.

That equates to a 70 month supply of Million $ Homes – basically 6 years.

Compared to the overall market’s 10 month supply, the +Million $ Market is not performing.  Let’s look at some reasons. When we factor in REO and Short Sales we get a better picture of the +Million $ Market.

+Million $ Market -
REO Active: 47
REO Jan Sales: 3

So the number of REO listings to overall listings is “out of whack” with the rest of the market.  1% vs. 23% for Actives and 6% vs. 64% for Solds.

What about Short Sales and Pre-foreclosures?

+Million $ Market -
Short Sales Active: 102
Short Sales Jan Sales: 2

So when you compare this to the 21% active Short Sales listings and the 4% sold numbers, you can see that the Bank Owned and Short Sale phenomena has not affected the +Million $ Market…yet.

The overall numbers look like this:

Active Listings
Overall: 50,462
+Million $ Market: 3504

January Closed
Overall: 4727
+Million $ Market: 50

Active REO Listings
Overall: 11,595 –> 23%
+Million $ Market: 47 –> 1+%

Active Short Sales and Pre-Foreclosure Listings
Overall: 10,516 –> 21%
+Million $ Market: 102 –> 3%

Closed Jan REO’s
Overall: 3093 –> 65%
+Million $ Market: 3 –> 6%

Closed Jan Short Sales and Pre-Foreclosures
Overall: 447 –> 9%
+Million $ Market: 2 –> 4%

Combining these categories-

Active REO’s, Short Sales and Pre-Foreclosures
Overall: 22,015 –> 44%
+Million $ Market: 149 –> 4%

Closed REO’s, Short Sales and Pre-Foreclosures
Overall: 3528 –> 75%
+Million $ Market: 5 –> 10%

So the + Million $ Market is not functioning because…fill in the blank. Is it the ability to obtain financing? Is it pricing? Is it consumer confidence? Is it all of the above and then some?

JS

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Seller Staging Strategies – Stand Out From The Competition


Man skimming backyard poolIt wasn’t all that long ago that a house would sell regardless of how it looked, smelled or presented itself – well, WAKE UP, times have changed and so have buyers.  Savvy agents recognize that a shift means its showtime for a listing.  Your listing must win a beauty contest and a price war!

As an agent you face two obstacles; the seller’s reluctance to invest in staging and the buyer’s inability to envision how a property will look when it is in its best condition.  Generally speaking, staging is an essential part of marketing a home.  Keller tells you the numbers are on your side, “a review of over 2,800 properties in eight cities found that staged homes, on average, sold in half the time that non-staged homes did.  The sellers with staged homes ended up with 6.3 percent more than their asking price, on average.”

Sellers, while they grasp the benefits of staging, may not see the necessity of staging their home.  They have spent money, time and effort in fixing and filling it with their stuff and it bears their personal taste.  But now, the house needs to appeal to the broadest possible segment of likely buyers.  And, you need to convince the seller that you don’t live in a house the same way you put a house up for sale.

Gary Keller in his book Shift suggests that you might want to use the “3P-2F Formula” in suggesting improvements:

♦  Plantings

♦  Paint

♦  Pictures

♦  Furnishings

♦  Fixtures

The house’s appeal has to start at the curb, if they don’t like the outside, they may never see the inside.  And, buyers spend a lot of time on the front porch while the agent is accessing the key.  Keller advises taking sellers through the house room by room asking them in each area what three things they would do to improve the appeal for that particular area.  The following areas are especially important to buyers:

♦  Entryway

♦  Kitchen

♦  Master bedroom and bath

♦  Main living areas

♦  Other bedrooms

♦  Backyard

In the event that sellers cannot name three things they need to do to improve those areas, you need to be ready with a list to help them out.

Be sure to suggest a thorough cleaning, windows especially need to sparkle.  You may need to address clutter; clutter eats equity because clutter eats space.  You certainly don’t have to be the one that does any of this, if you want to that’s great, but there are professional stagers you can use as another option.  Some agents provide one or two hours of a staging consultation as a part of their listing package.  There are advantages to having a third-party professional deliver the bad news especially when you are talking about their precious personal photos or knick-knacks.  Remember that the entire idea of staging is to create a neutral environment where buyers can envision their own things.

There are already so many thing you can’t change about a home; its location, square footage and amenities that staging becomes imperative to accentuate the true value of a home and when done effectively can actually create value.  Keller says, “Pricing and staging are the issues of the day in a shift…..pricing gets you in the game – staging gets you the offer.”

DF

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Greater Phoenix Housing Stats – January 2009


ARMLS recently posted January numbers.  It gave me a chance to examine a few items looking at the past 8 years.

The number of sales per year has ranged from 54,800(2007) to 104,705 (2005).

January has always shown a significant drop in the number of sales from December – the drop has ranged from 10% for January 2002 to 20% twice 2003 and 2006.  It makes January 2009′s 14% decline look good.  January 2009 was the 8th month in a row of Year over Year (Y over Y) increase-following 32 months in a row of Y over Y decreases (10/05-6/08).  February is tracking to be the 9th month in a row for the increase.  And with 9000+ properties in Pending status, it appears the trend will continue for at least the short term.

January also gives an indication of what the year may hold.  The month has accounted for between 5 to 8% of a given year’s total.  That means we should have between 59,000 and 94,000 transactions this year.  The most frequent number (6%) would give us 79,000 sales.  That seems too high to me.  Using January 2009 as a 7% indicator, gives us 68,000 sales.  That seems more reachable.  It would be a 13% increase over 2008′s numbers, which were 10% above 2007 figures.

I still haven’t seen much reporting regarding 2008′s improvement.  The number of sales has also increased by more than 50% (Y over Y) in 4 of the last 5 months.  And November had a 33% improvement, which was the smallest increase.  Instead the media focuses on the sales price decline-which is significant but the percentage drop in prices is much smaller than the percentage increase in number of sales.  Why not report them both?

For example:

January’s Y over Y numbers show:

Sales increased from 2912 to 4742-a 63% GAIN;

The average price dropped from $313,000 to $180,000 a 42% decrease;

The median price dropped from $220,000 to $130,000-a 41% decline.

It seems that some folks are waiting for both the number of sales and the sales prices to turn around before reporting on any positive trends.   I think it’s time to talk about the increases-you know 8 months and counting.

JS

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Waterfront Lot: Feature Code Friday


Happy Feature Code Friday!  Today we’re going to highlight the feature code “Waterfront Lot”.  You can find it in the Property Description section of Flexmls.

Flexmls screenshot of the property description field with waterfront lot selected

There are currently 558 active listings for sale on the water in greater Phoenix.  I will admit that’s more than I expected.  They are spread out across the entire Valley, although you can see the largest cluster in the southeast.

Map of all the homes for sale in greater phoenix on water

There have been 98 sales in the last three months with and average sales price of $329,875.  You want to hear the most shocking part?  That is up $10k from the 3 months prior.  The waterfront properties in Phoenix average sales price has gone up!  Who would of thought?

So for next Friday, I wonder, what feature code would you like to see featured?

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Get To the Table – Lead Conversion


What defines a “shift”?  If you say, “scarcity defines a shift”, then you truly get what’s happening.  There may still be lots of “leads” (if you are generating them properly) but there are fewer good leads.  As important as lead generation is, if you don’t get a name and number and an appointment, what good is it?  You might be deeply into activities that generate leads but leads that don’t turn into appointments make your activities futile.  So let’s define a real lead as a lead that has a name, contact information and an appointment with a motivated person – now THAT’S a lead.

Cowboy roping steer

Gary Keller in his book “Shift” says that conversion is simple but requires preparation.  Lead conversion is:

Capture – According to NAR most buyers and sellers only interview one agent so getting there first is important. Then, you have to ask, if you fear being “pushy” or “intimidating” it is inappropriate because just asking has no emotional energy attached to it.  “If I found exactly what you’re looking for where would I contact you?”  Try it, it works well!

Connect – The fundamental theme of connecting is curiosity – to understand someone’s wants and needs and become aware of their concerns and issues.  You are a consultant who wants to understand their situation.  Keller suggests six connection questions:

1.       Who are they?

2.       What do they want or need to do?

3.       Where do they want or need to do it?

4.       Why do they want or need to do it?

5.       When do they want or need to do it?

6.       How do they plan to do it?

Close –   Does that sound too “sales like”, well it should according to Keller  ”close” means “end in mind”.  Based on your connection can you help?  Is their “need” viable.  Closing doesn’t just happen, it is part of the plan and you ask - ask to meet, ask when to meet, ask where to meet, ask if you should, could, want or must meet.  Just Ask!!

Keller is a real proponent of scripts – so is John Hall & Associates.  When you know the answer, it is hard to wait for the question.  You want a chance to use your polished answer.  Unfortunately many agents don’t have a polished answer!  Because they never practiced the answer even though they have heard the question again and again.  Keller has some great script suggestions.  You also might try the John Hall & Associates intranet for dozens of scripts under “Flannigan’s Marketing Ideas”, more importantly PRACTICE them.  Lead conversion is more than an art it is a skill-based aspect of your business.

DF

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First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit


Marge Lindsay just got an email from Margie O’Campo de Castillo through the REEA (Real Estate Educators Association) network with excellent information about the new first time home buyer tax credit.

First time home buyer tax credits as amended by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (HR 1).

Please consult your tax advisor / accountant to determine whether you are eligible for this tax credit before making any decisions or changes to your tax status.  This is for information only and should be verified by a tax professional.

The 3 changes to the first-time home buyers tax credit program include:

Tax credit has been increased to $8,000.

Homes have to be purchased between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2009.

No repayment/recapture clause for homes sold after 36 months of occupancy and ownership.

1. The Tax Credit is for home buyers (either spouse if filing jointly) who have NOT owned a principle residence during the three-year period prior to the purchase.  Ownership of vacation property or rental property does not disqualify home buyers from this program.

2. The maximum credit is $8,000 or 10% of the home purchase, whichever is less.

3. The credit is available for homes purchased on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 31, 2009.

4. To qualify for the full tax credit, married couples’ modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) should be under $150,000 and single filers’ MAGI should be less than $75,000. Partial tax credits may be available for married couples with MAGI incomes of over $150,000 but under $170,000 and single filers with incomes over $75,000 but under $95,000.  If married couples who qualify for the first-time tax credit file separately, they would both claim 5% of the home purchase or $4,000 each (whichever is less) on their tax returns.

5. Home buyers who qualify for this program, but who do not intend to purchase a home till the end of 2009, may elect to alter their tax withholdings (up to the amount of the of the tax credit) in order to save up money for a down payment.  However, if the purchase of the home does not occur, the taxes must be repaid to the IRS.

6. There is no recapture or repayment clause IF the home is owned for at least 36 months.

7. The effective date of purchase for new construction (even if buyer owns title to the lot) is the date the owner first occupies the house.  So even if construction began in 2008, as long as the home and buyers qualify for the tax credit, they will be eligible if they take possession any time during 2009.   However, new construction bought from the builder is only eligible if the settlement date (closing) takes place between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2009.

8. The law allows taxpayers to elect to treat qualified 2009 purchases as a 2008 purchase so that they can receive the tax credit on their 2008 tax returns.

9. The full amount of the eligible tax credit is refunded to the buyer, regardless of whether the buyer has paid an equivalent amount in taxes.

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009

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